In order to make sound investment decisions today, we are forced on making long term projections of portfolio returns. The methodology, assumptions, and original inputs for our approach to predicting long term portfolio returns are originally documented in our white… Read More >
The Monkey’s Advantage
The Wall Street Journal ran a periodic column a few years ago that compared the performance of some of the best stock pickers to that of monkeys throwing darts at a page of stock listings. After some time, the “monkeys”… Read More >
Effect of Stale Returns on Diversification Strategies
In an effort to manage risk and reduce volatility, investors often seek to diversify the holdings in their portfolio. Diversification is sometimes described as the only “free lunch” when it comes to investing. The idea behind diversification is that an… Read More >
Estimating Bond Returns
Many people find the performance of bonds, and particularly bond funds, confusing. We know that if we buy a bond for $100 that matures in 5 years and pays a $5 coupon (or 5% yield), then we will earn 5%… Read More >
Make Small Cap Stocks Great Again?
The stock markets in the days immediately following the recent US presidential election were surprising to many in a number of ways. US small company stocks experienced higher returns than US large company stocks. This period helps illustrate how different… Read More >
Do Investment Consultants Pick Winners?
Investors hire advisors for a number of reasons, but the primary reason is usually that they want help choosing investments. Individuals typically rely on brokers or investment advisors. Institutions are served by “investment consultants” who specialize in helping them manage… Read More >
Thoughts on Brexit
Last Thursday, June 23, citizens of the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. On Friday, June 24, equity markets worldwide lost over $2 trillion dollars with percentage declines outside of Great Britain generally exceeding those on the London… Read More >
PW&Co Analyst Brooks Blair is “On the Move”
We are excited to welcome Brooks Blair to the Porter White & Company (PW&Co) team. Brooks is a financial analyst who supports PW&Co’s investment management clients with a focus on investment research. He started his career at SunTrust Bank, and,… Read More >
Jim White Examines The Big Short
After being asked several times my opinion on The Big Short (“Short” for short in this writing), a few days ago I went to see the movie. Short is based on the book of the same name by Michael Lewis,… Read More >
The Role of Bonds in a Portfolio
When markets become more volatile, it is a good time to reflect on the role of bonds in a portfolio. While we do not recommend reacting to short-term changes in market movement, we do think it is a good time… Read More >
Remember the Lost Decade
Five years ago, the financial press was talking about the “lost decade.” The S&P 500 had not earned an investor any money, even when including dividends, for the first decade of this century (ending December 2009). While 2009 saw stocks… Read More >
Projecting Long Term Returns
One of our fundamental responsibilities as an investment manager is to build sound investment portfolios. The objective of our portfolios is to meet the fundamental return needs of our clients while taking an acceptable level of risk. Inevitably, this requires… Read More >
Have the Markets Entered a Danger Zone?
Robert Schiller, author of “Irrational Exuberance” and recent Nobel Prize winner, has been credited with predicting the last two market crashes. His preferred metric of value for the stock market is the “Cyclically Adjusted Price Earnings (CAPE)” ratio. He makes… Read More >
Projecting 10 Year Portfolio Returns
Answering the following questions requires a view on future stock and bond portfolio returns: “How much can an endowment disburse and maintain its value?” “How much do I need to save for retirement?” “What is the likelihood of doubling my… Read More >
Should We Rebalance Our Balanced Portfolios?
In our last commentary (IMC 13), we looked at rebalancing an all stock portfolio. (If you didn’t read this post, you might want to review it here before continuing.) We looked at the case of an account that only included… Read More >
Should We Rebalance Our Stock Portfolios?
When we manage client accounts, we typically devise asset allocation policies (or portfolio models) that specify the amount (in percentage terms) that we will try to hold of each investment option in the account. As time goes by, the investment… Read More >
Barron’s Explains Dimensional Fund Advisors
In its first issue of the year 2014, Barron’s published a cover story on Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA), an investment management firm whose funds Porter, White & Company has frequently recommended. DFA funds are not generally available to the public… Read More >
The Value of Advice
In this first video, Goodloe talks about the genesis of our investment management business and the value of advice we bring to our wealth management clients. Value of Advice for Wealth Management Clients from Porter, White & Company on Vimeo…. Read More >